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Alas, Jude Bellingham-led Real Madrid are still considered massive favourites by the prediction model, which, based on the 10,000 simulations, thinks Carlo Ancelotti's side have a 76.6% chance of wresting the crown back from Barcelona.
Team rating | end-of-season probabilities | |
Real Madrid78 pts | 84.4 | ' |
Atltico Madrid77 pts | 79.3 | ' |
Real Sociedad71 pts | 77.1 | ' |
Villarreal64 pts | 73.3 |